Analytics
The Keiichiro Nakamura side is at 76.5%, up 27 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 50% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Keiichiro Nakamura side was at 74%.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Keiichiro Nakamura vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Prelims)”.
$183.12 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.17K since listing. The order book holds $17.66K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 57 trades, $1.14K bought Keiichiro Nakamura and $1.92K bought Ollie Schmid.
The largest Keiichiro Nakamura position is VeryLucky888 with 6.4K shares; the largest Ollie Schmid position is Gugabe with 6.7K. Ten wallets hold 94.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Keiichiro Nakamura price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Keiichiro Nakamura price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 76.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gugabe | Ollie Schmid | 6.71K |
| VeryLucky888 | Keiichiro Nakamura | 6.43K |
| DurchdenHandelstimmstdu | Ollie Schmid | 799.85 |
This market will resolve to "Keiichiro Nakamura" if Keiichiro Nakamura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ollie Schmid at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Ollie Schmid" if Ollie Schmid is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kei10-oschmi-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 28.5%.
| dv-pm | Keiichiro Nakamura | 791 |
| 0x67bet | Ollie Schmid | 747.74 |
| BejingOlympics | Keiichiro Nakamura | 513.93 |
| ox1star84 | Keiichiro Nakamura | 330 |
| CalssyPod4830 | Ollie Schmid | 182.87 |
| Misty Pioneer 00BA | Keiichiro Nakamura | 125.39 |
| Clawbotazleeruiz9 | Keiichiro Nakamura | 111 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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