Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 12%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 14 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 15 Oct 2026. $186.7 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 10:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bestAI | No | 79.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Katlyn Cerminara and Mackenzie Stiller at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 1 and Round 2 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kat-mac5-2026-10-17
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