Analytics
The Karine Silva side is at 67.5%, up 18 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 50% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Karine Silva side was at 58.5%.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)”.
$493.29 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.64K since listing. The order book holds $25.75K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $1.16K bought Karine Silva and $599.15 bought Gabriella Fernandes.
The largest Karine Silva position is VeryLucky888 with 815 shares; the largest Gabriella Fernandes position is n.jordanov with 882. Ten wallets hold 81.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Karine Silva price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Karine Silva price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 67.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| n.jordanov | Gabriella Fernandes | 882.35 |
| VeryLucky888 | Karine Silva | 815.47 |
| Kuntro2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 530.68 |
This market will resolve to "Karine Silva" if Karine Silva is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriella Fernandes at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Gabriella Fernandes" if Gabriella Fernandes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kar5-gab5-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 27.5%.
| omnibus-076daa | Karine Silva | 500 |
| 300PS | Gabriella Fernandes | 487.99 |
| urgencista | Karine Silva | 466.55 |
| Neat-Brushfire | Karine Silva | 404.81 |
| DurchdenHandelstimmstdu | Gabriella Fernandes | 400 |
| 0x67bet | Gabriella Fernandes | 378.16 |
| Numb-Sub | Karine Silva | 369.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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