Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 16 Aug 2026 and the low 5.5% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 27% on 25 Aug 2026. $10.91K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 11:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 16 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 10.18K |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kai Asakura and Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai6-aor-2026-08-29
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