Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 45.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 19 Aug 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 49% on 18 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 54.5% on 19 Aug 2026.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 1:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 19 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 54.5% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kaik Brito and Namo Fazil at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-kai4-nfazil-2026-08-18
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