
Resolved No on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2026 to 12 Aug 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 24.5% on 12 Aug 2026.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 12 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 44.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 24.5% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Joe Kropschot and Jon Kunneman at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1, scheduled for August 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jkrops-jon23-2026-08-11
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