Analytics
Trading ended on 14 Oct 2026 with Yes at 50%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 18 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 50% on 15 Oct 2026.
$5 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is gksehgsoheiogesh with 5 shares; the largest No position is Golden Signal FF21 with 5.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 3:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gksehgsoheiogesh | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Signal FF21 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jason Asher and Greg Foster at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jasash-grefos-2026-10-13
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