Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 27%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 20 Jul 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 21.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $5.48K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 7:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 27.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| no1dodgersfan | No | 1.81K |
| Mispriced47 | No | 1.22K |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 67.67 |
| baseline-cro | No | 51.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Jan Blachowicz" if Jan Blachowicz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Navajo Stirling at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Navajo Stirling" if Navajo Stirling is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jan-nav-2026-08-01
| nkognito | No | 33.92 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| Forecastication2 | No | 10 |
| AntiVaxxer | No | 6.77 |
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