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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 53.19 | $0.940 | $52.26 | +$2.26 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 14.1 | $0.950 | $13.4 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 53.55 |
| $0.932 |
| $51.49 |
| +$1.55 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 53.05 | $0.945 | $51.22 | +$1.09 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 53.34 | $0.940 | $50.41 | +$0.27 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 26.08 | $0.958 | $25.34 | +$0.35 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026? | No | 15.09 | $0.930 | $14.58 | +$0.54 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 14.1 | $0.950 | $13.75 | +$0.35 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | No | 9.8 | $0.870 | $9.08 | +$0.56 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? | No | 5.55 | $0.930 | $5.51 | +$0.34 |
| sell |
| 22.48 |
| $0.922 |
| $20.73 |
| 7d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | sell | 35.37 | $0.860 | $30.42 | 7d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | buy | 35.37 | $0.710 | $25.11 | 11d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 26.11 | $0.960 | $25.07 | 11d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 26.14 | $0.955 | $24.96 | 11d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 18.08 | $0.740 | $13.38 | 14d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?No | buy | 32.19 | $0.775 | $24.95 | 19d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 26.11 | $0.960 | $25.07 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.09 | $0.956 | $24.94 | 19d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.38 | $0.950 | $25.06 | 19d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | sell | 26.9 | $0.998 | $26.85 | 19d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?No | sell | 31.36 | $0.996 | $31.23 | 19d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | 29d ago |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 34.87 | $0.720 | $25.11 | 29d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?No | sell | 26.38 | $0.900 | $23.74 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | sell | 26.11 | $0.995 | $25.98 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?No | sell | 28.01 | $0.973 | $27.26 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 30.59 | $0.910 | $27.84 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in July?No | buy | 26.19 | $0.953 | $24.96 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.930 | $22.32 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 35.11 | $0.650 | $22.82 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 25.82 | $0.967 | $24.97 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?No | sell | 33.47 | $0.580 | $19.41 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 19?No | buy | 33.47 | $0.750 | $25.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.800 | $5.71 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 30.59 | $0.820 | $25.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 29.16 | $0.860 | $25.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 29.86 | $0.840 | $25.08 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 26.11 | $0.960 | $25.07 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 25.8 | $0.996 | $25.7 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 29.86 | $0.930 | $27.77 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 29.86 | $0.840 | $25.08 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 26.08 | $0.958 | $24.98 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 25.85 | $0.997 | $25.77 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?No | sell | 33.03 | $0.850 | $28.08 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 25.8 | $0.968 | $24.98 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | sell | 33.25 | $0.910 | $30.26 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 33.65 | $0.996 | $33.52 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Navajo Stirling win by KO or TKO?No | buy | 19 | $0.740 | $14.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 27.41 | $0.910 | $24.94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Tofiq Musayev win by KO or TKO?No | buy | 28.5 | $0.880 | $25.08 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 26.22 | $0.994 | $26.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 27.84 | $0.998 | $27.78 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 28.82 | $0.993 | $28.62 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 28.66 | $0.998 | $28.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Record" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 28.17 | $0.750 | $21.13 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 25.8 | $0.968 | $24.97 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | sell | 26.04 | $0.904 | $23.54 | Jul 18, 2026 |