Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 49.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 8 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 9 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 8 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 50.5% on 9 Sep 2026.
Polymarket record as of Sep 9, 1:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 9 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 27.5% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 50.5% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Isaac Moreno and Reginaldo Junior at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 5, scheduled for September 8, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-isamor-regjun-2026-09-08
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