Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 24 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 18% on 14 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 35.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $62.94K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 1:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SevenTons | Yes | 2.68K |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | Yes | 300 |
| Forecastication2 | Yes | 141 |
| jifidsisjdidf | Yes | 57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ilias Bulaid and Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ilibul-erivis-2026-09-29
New to prediction markets?
| vpfiles62 | Yes | 48.65 |
| lieved | Yes | 6 |
| 37231836 | No | 0.02 |
