Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2026 to 9 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 43% on 3 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 43.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 47.5% on 7 Aug 2026.
$520.44 has traded since listing.
The largest position is custalt with 65 No shares.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 2:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 45.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| custalt | No | 65 |
| Jade Pulse 754A | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Henrique da Silva Lopes and Louie Sutherland at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-hdasil-lou2-2026-08-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
