Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.830 | $8.8 | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.710 |
| $7 |
| -$0.1 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.770 | $4.78 | +$0.93 |
 Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.730 | $4.05 | +$0.4 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people? | No | 10 | $0.310 | $3.55 | +$0.45 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 9.98 | $0.585 | $2.84 | -$2.99 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.520 | $2.78 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.305 | $2.28 | +$0.75 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | Yes | 9.35 | $0.310 | $2.01 | -$0.89 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.240 | $1.7 | -$0.7 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 5 | $0.460 | $1.35 | -$0.95 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | Yes | 3.19 | $0.560 | $1.18 | -$0.61 |
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.210 | $1.15 | -$0.95 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | $0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.85 | -$0.35 |
 Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.110 | $0.83 | +$0.28 |
 Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 5 | $0.110 | $0.78 | +$0.23 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.18 | $0.410 | $0.71 | -$1.82 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.190 | $0.65 | -$1.25 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.150 | $0.6 | -$0.15 |
 Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 18.3 | $0.132 | $0.54 | -$1.88 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 3.34 | $0.380 | $0.45 | -$0.82 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.120 | $0.41 | -$0.8 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? | Yes | 10 | $0.135 | $0.4 | -$0.95 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.110 | $0.35 | -$0.2 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.039 |
| $0.98 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |