Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 6 Sep 2026 to 19 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 34.5% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 34.5% on 15 Sep 2026. $767 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 20, 9:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Sep 2026 – 19 Sep 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dimpled-Hay | Yes | 333 |
| jojoba777 | Yes | 90 |
| heypol1 | Yes | 73.91 |
| DS17 | Yes | 71.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Giga Chikadze and Joanderson Brito at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gig-joa4-2026-09-19
New to prediction markets?
| journeymanfinalboss | Yes | 5 |
| TumbamBumrras | Yes | 3.26 |
| suvcss01 | Yes | 2.51 |
