Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 11 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 0.1% on 11 Oct 2026. $2.17K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 11:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SteadyC | Yes | 259.19 |
| Freepali48 | Yes | 32.26 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 28.66 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Gerald Meerschaert and Julius Walker at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ger1-jul18-2026-10-10
New to prediction markets?
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 5 |
