Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 17.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 24 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 30 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 17.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $1.23K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 30 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Automatic-Mist | No | 26.32 |
| a5533 | No | 20 |
| GooberThaGooner | Yes | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George Staines defeats Loai Abushaar at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-geosta-loaabu-2026-09-29
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