Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 38.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 49% on 23 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 58.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $3.09K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 9:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KamalaHunter | Yes | 65.57 |
| SpecStavok | Yes | 45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Farés Ziam and Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-far-axe-2026-09-05
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