Analytics
Resolved Elves Brener on 26 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Elves Brener at 44.5%. The Elves Brener side opened at 50% on 13 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 70.5% on 18 Sep 2026 and the low 44.5% on 24 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 70.5% on 18 Sep 2026. $326.07K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 27, 11:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Elves Brener price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 26 Sep 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Elves Brener price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| casualbet2020 | Josiah Harrell | 18.94K |
| omnibus-076daa | Josiah Harrell | 16.34K |
| randypunt | Josiah Harrell | 3.5K |
| Madeira99 | Josiah Harrell | 2.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Elves Brener" if Elves Brener is officially declared the winner of the fight against Josiah Harrell at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Josiah Harrell" if Josiah Harrell is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-elv-jos50-2026-09-26
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| E33xing | Josiah Harrell | 1K |
| Steveti | Josiah Harrell | 1K |
| CrazyDeLaCaks | Josiah Harrell | 961.94 |
| Kidfp | Josiah Harrell | 802.72 |
| PeAPAnieniLiala | Josiah Harrell | 769.23 |
| 10scat | Josiah Harrell | 737.46 |
