Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 61.5% on 20 Aug 2026 and the low 44.5% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 46% on 21 Aug 2026. $449 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 9:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 9 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Legal-Knot-Neglect | No | 197 |
| seeyouanymore | No | 50 |
| Lavincey | No | 25 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 22 |
| Forecastication2 | No | 5 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| Rocks3 | No | 4 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Elise Reed and Shanelle Dyer at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-eli3-sha32-2026-08-22
New to prediction markets?
