Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2026 to 22 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6% on 21 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26.5% on 20 Aug 2026.
Polymarket record as of Aug 22, 9:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 9 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 8.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elise Reed defeats Shanelle Dyer at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-eli3-sha32-2026-08-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
