Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 16 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 13 Sep 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 16 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34% on 14 Sep 2026. $98.67 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 12:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 16 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| roscoff | Yes | 49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ednilson Santos and Akbar Abdullaev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 6, scheduled for September 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ednsan-akbabd-2026-09-15
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