Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 6 Sep 2026 to 19 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 17% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 30% on 15 Sep 2026.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 11:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Sep 2026 – 19 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | 17.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Edmen Shahbazyan and Brunno Ferreira at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-edm-bru8-2026-09-19
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