Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 20 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 20 Jul 2026 and the low 25.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 32% on 31 Jul 2026. $654.44 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 20 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 25.5% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leonidas31 | Yes | 344.83 |
| OctoMoose | Yes | 214.81 |
| NASAMS | Yes | 48.28 |
| jemsan | Yes | 10.34 |
| Misty Voyager 3161 | Yes | 5.17 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert Valentin defeats Duško Todorovic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-du-rob19-2026-08-01
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