Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2026 to 29 Aug 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 39.5% on 25 Aug 2026.
Polymarket record as of Aug 29, 7:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 41.0% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ding Meng and Cameron Nelson at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-din2-camnel-2026-08-29
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