Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 30 Aug 2026 and the low 26.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26.5% on 9 Sep 2026. $2.9K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 9:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 30 Aug 2026 – 12 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zcc19970101 | Yes | 2.33K |
| iSeemey | Yes | 357.66 |
| cbh76255 | Yes | 45.45 |
| IncelnasHorasvagas | Yes | 20 |
| LiquidityProfessor | Yes | 7.69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Ige defeats David Martinez at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dan2-dav32-2026-09-12
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