Analytics
The Colby Thicknesse side is at 16.5%, down 34 points from 50% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the Colby Thicknesse side was at 24%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25% on 12 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)”.
$1.23K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.66K since listing. The order book holds $60.89K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 62 trades, $257.03 bought Colby Thicknesse and $1.07K bought Asaf Chopurov.
The largest Colby Thicknesse position is Kolemba with 521 shares; the largest Asaf Chopurov position is yessirskis with 794. Ten wallets hold 72.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:46 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Colby Thicknesse price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Colby Thicknesse price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yessirskis | Asaf Chopurov | 794.43 |
| Kolemba | Colby Thicknesse | 521.11 |
| omnibus-076daa | Asaf Chopurov | 425.17 |
This market will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner of the fight against Asaf Chopurov at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Asaf Chopurov" if Asaf Chopurov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-col12-asacho-2026-10-24
6 more markets, none above 20.5%.
| Granyslapr | Colby Thicknesse | 399.98 |
| light808 | Colby Thicknesse | 296.98 |
| dv-pm | Asaf Chopurov | 295 |
| ox1star84 | Asaf Chopurov | 293.97 |
| tato14 | Asaf Chopurov | 240.96 |
| Yoelmma | Colby Thicknesse | 199.99 |
| leflaive | Colby Thicknesse | 199.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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