Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 8.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 17 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2026 to 22 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 27.5% on 21 Aug 2026. $2.92K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 23, 11:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 17 Aug 2026 – 22 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GeepaP | No | 1.46K |
| seeyouanymore | No | 425 |
| Legal-Knot-Neglect | No | 392.5 |
| roscoff | No | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chris Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-chr52-nas-2026-08-22
New to prediction markets?
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