Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 7 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 16 Aug 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 16 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 42.5% on 14 Aug 2026. $5.17K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 1:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jittery-Confidentiality | No | 1.29K |
| Grubby-Displacement | No | 136.99 |
| askarta | No | 25 |
| koxma | No | 12.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chidi Njokuani and Joel Álvarez at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-chi1-joe-2026-08-15
| suvcss01 | No | 10 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| Bright Tide C357 | No | 4.11 |
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