Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 45%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 8 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 61.5% on 14 Oct 2026. $3.62K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 9:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 55.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| siick | Yes | 886 |
| tellmehowtowin | Yes | 500 |
| curie | Yes | 399 |
| Emerald Beacon 5B38 | Yes | 37.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Chelsea Chandler and Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-che3-mel8-2026-10-17
| Granyslapr | Yes | 20 |
| mmakingbet | Yes | 14.57 |
| jifidsisjdidf | Yes | 10 |
| Rapid Orbit 96C5 | Yes | 7.12 |
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