Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 38% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 38% on 14 Aug 2026 and the low 29% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 29% on 15 Aug 2026. $4.28K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 17, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 14 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 38.0% |
| 16 Aug 2026 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| COCO5555 | Yes | 300 |
| kimpossiblepvt | Yes | 106.38 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| ConstantineVIII | Yes | 7.45 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Charles Johnson and Eduardo Chapolin at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-cha15-edu8-2026-08-15
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