Analytics
Resolved Padilla on 9 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Padilla at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2025 to 9 Nov 2025, the highest close was 65.5% on 3 Nov 2025 and the lowest 49.5% on 9 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 51.5% on 8 Nov 2025. $127.56K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 1 Nov 2025 – 9 Nov 2025, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 9 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| squarestylepizza | Bonfim | 3.93K |
| leo0770 | Bonfim | 2K |
| liuliuliu | Bonfim | 2K |
| Kickstand7 | Bonfim | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on whether Bonfim or Padilla will win their bout at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown, scheduled for November 8. This market will resolve to "Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is declared the winner. This market will resolve to "Padilla" if Chris Padilla is declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the bout is not scored, postponed after November 15, 2025, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be ESPN. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-fight-night-bonfim-vs-brown
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| jonasbibi | Bonfim | 600 |
| Nicksypoo | Bonfim | 513.2 |
| Der117 | Bonfim | 480 |
| BeastPlays | Bonfim | 417.08 |
| PanosMariolis2001 | Bonfim | 260 |
| SeriouslySirius | Bonfim | 200 |
