Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 49% on 22 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 22 Aug 2026 and the low 8% on 29 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 26.5% on 25 Aug 2026. $18.52K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 30, 10:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 22 Aug 2026 – 29 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| revela39 | Yes | 1K |
| Misty Oracle AC64 | Yes | 11.11 |
| Baron03 | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Bilal Hasan and Nilson Rojas at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bhasan-nilroj-2026-08-29
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