Analytics
Resolved Alex Apodaca on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Apodaca at 4.3%. The Bella Mir side opened at 50% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 95.7% on 26 Aug 2026 and the lowest 50% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 73.4% on 14 Aug 2026. $86.96K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 1:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Bella Mir price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Bella Mir price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 95.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IGBGMN | Bella Mir | 3.08K |
| Webbed-Luck | Bella Mir | 3.06K |
| olddirtyfighter | Bella Mir | 1.88K |
| Runitagain11 | Bella Mir | 1.65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Bella Mir" if Bella Mir is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alex Apodaca at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3, scheduled for August 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Alex Apodaca" if Alex Apodaca is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-belmir-aleapo-2026-08-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 99centdreams | Bella Mir | 1.38K |
| leegunner | Bella Mir | 1.02K |
| Turtle26 | Bella Mir | 1K |
| Socialista | Bella Mir | 977.04 |
| Carefree-Quarter | Bella Mir | 555 |
| sassasas | Bella Mir | 439 |
