Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 40% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 40% on 20 Oct 2026. $479.99 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 6:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 41.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Azamat Murzakanov and Dominick Reyes at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 1 and Round 2 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aza-dom-2026-10-24
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