Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 9 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2026 to 23 Aug 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 23 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 35% on 20 Aug 2026. $2.31K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 9 Aug 2026 – 23 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 307.25 |
| Cosmic Raven 7967 | Yes | 254.44 |
| J14 | Yes | 193.33 |
| Jade Scout EEB9 | Yes | 116.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gregory Rodrigues defeats Anthony Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ant-gre3-2026-08-22
New to prediction markets?
| Granyslapr | Yes | 100 |
| roscoff | Yes | 56.12 |
| Thin-Sermon | Yes | 51.72 |
| JTPMJVR | Yes | 42.86 |
| darl-bundren | Yes | 39.61 |
| nizvz | Yes | 35.71 |
