Analytics
Yes is at 61%, up 11 points from 50% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 61% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 50% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 57% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Andre Petroski vs. Mantas Kondratavicius (Middleweight, Main Card)”.
$12.5 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.68K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 0fb8687b047e56 with 13 shares; the largest No position is roscoff with 13.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 61.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0fb8687b047e56 | Yes | 12.5 |
| roscoff | No | 12.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mantas Kondratavicius defeats Andre Petroski at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-and10-man18-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 28.5%.
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