Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 37.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 14 Oct 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 12 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 30.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $3.46K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 15, 1:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JAMJAMJAM4 | No | 1.7K |
| Mickey31 | No | 476.19 |
| Alex2341solis | No | 163.31 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Aline Pereira and Smilla Sundell at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aliper-smisun-2026-10-13
| Vicious-Iceberg | No | 151.52 |
| alertpilot123 | No | 56.69 |
| Silver Voyager 6346 | No | 43.55 |
| 0xtrador | No | 30 |
| Decent-Corporal | No | 26.62 |
| Internal-Puddle | No | 22.73 |
| a5533 | No | 8.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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