Analytics
Trading ended on 14 Oct 2026 with Yes at 50%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Aline Pereira and Smilla Sundell at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aliper-smisun-2026-10-13
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