Analytics
Resolved Alik Lorenz on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alik Lorenz at 100%. The Alik Lorenz side opened at 50% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 19 Aug 2026 and the low 21.5% on 15 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 73 points up, to 100% on 19 Aug 2026. $55.89K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Alik Lorenz price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 19 Aug 2026
| Observed | Alik Lorenz price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kosherlocks | Mahamed Aly | 9.8K |
| doris.G | Mahamed Aly | 1.23K |
| E33xing | Mahamed Aly | 999.99 |
| MadeiraIsland | Mahamed Aly | 995.71 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ali8-mah4-2026-08-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Exciting-Fir | Mahamed Aly | 778.42 |
| Carefree-Quarter | Mahamed Aly | 394.27 |
| Jealous-Remark | Mahamed Aly | 330.28 |
| Vivacious-Blackfish | Mahamed Aly | 250 |
| loag | Mahamed Aly | 200 |
| wareheimwride | Mahamed Aly | 103 |
