Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 39.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 9 Mar 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 39.5% on 29 Mar 2026. $9.98K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 5:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bngftfdr | No | 734.28 |
| jngfbdf | No | 454.06 |
| UVcdij | No | 375.2 |
| Crimson Tide C6B6 | No | 90.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexa Grasso defeats Maycee Barber at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale17-may-2026-03-28
| Jade Kestrel B549 | No | 2.11 |
| Ivy20021 | No | 1.11 |
| sirmisterk | No | 0.01 |
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