Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 37.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 63% on 20 Oct 2026. $4.21K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 9:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 10 |
| Domdyke45 | Yes | 1.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Alexander Volkanovski and Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ale14-mov-2026-10-24
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