Analytics
Resolved Abe Alsaghir on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Abe Alsaghir at 43%. The Abe Alsaghir side opened at 50% on 4 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 4 Aug 2026 and the low 30.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 50% on 9 Aug 2026. $37.25K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 2:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Abe Alsaghir price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 4 Aug 2026 – 12 Aug 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Abe Alsaghir price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NXYD | Fabrizio Escarrega | 4.54K |
| Jaunty-Emergent | Fabrizio Escarrega | 3.53K |
| IGBGMN | Fabrizio Escarrega | 1.23K |
| Granyslapr | Fabrizio Escarrega |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Abe Alsaghir" if Abe Alsaghir is officially declared the winner of the fight against Fabrizio Escarrega at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 1, scheduled for August 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Fabrizio Escarrega" if Fabrizio Escarrega is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-aalsag-fescar-2026-08-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 527.88 |
| Silver Ledger 2B75 | Fabrizio Escarrega | 478.95 |
| johng6 | Fabrizio Escarrega | 442.38 |
| Private-Membrane | Fabrizio Escarrega | 412.28 |
| STC14 | Fabrizio Escarrega | 400 |
| custalt | Fabrizio Escarrega | 358.05 |
| igethebag | Fabrizio Escarrega | 300 |
