
Resolved No on 13 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 26% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 13 Mar 2026, the highest close was 26% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 0.1% on 13 Mar 2026.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 12:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 13 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 26.0% |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | Yes | 12.02K |
| Cannae | Yes | 9.07K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.85K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 2.41K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 12, 2026 between Nottingham Forest FC and FC Midtjylland.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-not-mid1-2026-03-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| haruk098 | Yes | 1.8K |
| Rizvi1313 | Yes | 1.18K |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 755.92 |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | Yes | 700 |
| Solar Comet BDF8 | Yes | 564.29 |
| Nice-Monitoring | Yes | 378.26 |