
Yes is at 26.5%, down 12 points from 38.5% when the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
The high was 38.5% on 10 Oct 2026 and the low 24% on 19 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 38.5%.
It is one of 60 markets under “FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets”.
$180.59 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $192.52 since listing. The order book holds $91.29K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is cikaskondikas with 77 shares; the largest No position is lbtrading with 132.
Trading closes on 21 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 21, 6:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lbtrading | No | 132.24 |
| cikaskondikas | Yes | 76.92 |
| Cosmic Maven DA74 | Yes | 45 |
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern München and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 21 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FC Bayern München and Arsenal FC each score at least one goal during the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score in the first half (i.e., if one or both teams finish the first half with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-bay-ars-2026-10-21-more-markets
47 more markets, none above 49.5%.
| Fesfouss |
| No |
| 25.76 |
| a5533 | No | 19.99 |
| BOOKMAKER67 | Yes | 18.52 |
| thatsabing0 | Yes | 17.63 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 8.81 |
| Swift Summit E8D5 | Yes | 3.71 |
| Pleased-Adobe | Yes | 3.7 |
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