
Trading ended on 21 Oct 2026 with Yes at 50.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 63% on 17 Oct 2026 and the low 47.5% on 10 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 48.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 61.5% on 15 Oct 2026.
It is one of 60 markets under “FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - More Markets”.
$73.88K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is sal9999 with 12.6K shares; the largest No position is UpTheBlues with 16.3K. Ten wallets hold 64.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 7:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 62.5% |
48 more markets, none above 50.0%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | No | 16.28K |
| Flaznorp | No | 13.48K |
| sal9999 | Yes | 12.57K |
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern München and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 21 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FC Bayern München and Arsenal FC each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-bay-ars-2026-10-21-more-markets
| Mambaxbt |
| No |
| 10.44K |
| Tough-Lily | Yes | 9.57K |
| madkkee | Yes | 7.78K |
| RN1 | Yes | 3.56K |
| YallGonLearn | Yes | 3.08K |
| yohan75 | Yes | 2.98K |
| NM-P | No | 2.81K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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