Analytics
Yes is at 16%, down 16 points from 32% when the market opened on 8 Oct 2026.
Across the 19 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 10% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 16% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...?”.
$20.1 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.15K since listing. The order book holds $330.88, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 118 trades, $315.52 bought Yes and $1.55K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 519 shares; the largest No position is willsom with 400.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 32.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 518.85 |
| willsom | No | 400 |
| sabsabinxz | No | 128.8 |
On September 23, 2026, Switzerland's upper house of parliament voted to raise UBS's capital requirements for its foreign subsidiaries, prompting speculation that UBS could move its headquarters out of Switzerland. This market will resolve to "Yes" if UBS Group AG ("UBS"), or an official representative of UBS, publicly announces that UBS will move its global headquarters or legal domicile, or those of its successor ultimate parent company, out of Switzerland between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The following will qualify: - An announcement from UBS or an official representative of UBS expressing that UBS has decided to move. - An announced agreed merger, acquisition, or adopted reorganization under which the ultimate parent company of UBS or of the combined group would be headquartered or domiciled outside Switzerland. The following will not qualify: - Statements that UBS is considering a move, could move, or would move depending on the outcome of Switzerland's capital requirements legislation. - An unsolicited acquisition proposal or preliminary transaction discussions. - Adding a headquarters outside Switzerland while keeping one in Switzerland, unless the legal domicile also moves out of Switzerland. - Moving only a subsidiary or business unit. No shareholder or regulatory approval of the move is required, and a qualifying announcement will count regardless of whether or when the move actually occurs. An announced decision subject to shareholder or regulatory approval will qualify. A subsequent withdrawal or reversal of the announced decision will not change the market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UBS and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ubs-announces-move-out-of-switzerland-by
| rocky42002 |
| Yes |
| 85.11 |
| 2B9S | No | 49.59 |
| NothingToAdd | No | 27.5 |
| financegaaaydog | No | 21.11 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 21 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.1 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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