Analytics
Yes is at 68%, up 18 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
The high was 75% on 3 Oct 2026 and the low 8% on 31 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 71%; a month ago, 48.5%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 53% on 5 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Pro Football: Tyler Shough 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns”.
$1.78K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $55.86, with a 36.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 70 trades, $103.27 bought Yes and $338.33 bought No.
The largest Yes position is JustADonk with 422 shares; the largest No position is tilazczz with 404.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 110 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 4:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 59 points · 12 Aug 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 68.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JustADonk | Yes | 422.39 |
| tilazczz | No | 404.41 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 164.34 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Tyler Shough records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 26.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tyler Shough does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Tyler Shough recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tyler-shough-passing-touchdowns-2026-27
| hithitfar |
| No |
| 119.19 |
| obscure1 | No | 20 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| AJSV | No | 14.86 |
| pppnn | No | 13.43 |
| Carabao | Yes | 6.2 |
| G24L8 | No | 1.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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