Analytics
Yes is at 51%, down 10 points from 61.5% when the market opened on 9 May 2026.
The high was 69% on 9 Sep 2026 and the low 22% on 13 May 2026. A week ago Yes was at 64.5%; a month ago, 63.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 61.5% on 2 Sep 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Tuyo FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$6.71K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $125.51, with a 24.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 159 trades, $828.78 bought Yes and $431.69 bought No.
The largest Yes position is explorer221 with 137 shares; the largest No position is beataroundabush with 242. Ten wallets hold 92.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 6:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 155 points · 9 May 2026 – 10 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | 61.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| beataroundabush | No | 242.24 |
| explorer221 | Yes | 136.82 |
| bauer24 | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Tuyo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Tuyo will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Tuyo (https://x.com/itstuyo) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tuyo-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| olakease |
| Yes |
| 60.46 |
| jianchi | Yes | 46.6 |
| Haradwaith | No | 41.51 |
| AJSV | No | 32.57 |
| truthbeautyjustice | No | 30.79 |
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 30 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 25.35 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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