Resolved No on 26 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 46% on 17 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 48.5% on 20 Sep 2026 and the low 1.1% on 26 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 1.1% on 26 Sep 2026. $32.25K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 27, 4:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 26 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | 46.0% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.19K |
| rigatohni | Yes | 5.63K |
| Huye168 | Yes | 765 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 648.55 |
| Ruddy-Hiring | Yes | 518.85 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 478.41 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 313.47 |
| filaretou | Yes | 300 |
| Honest-Therapist | Yes | 258.73 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 202.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only". Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration. Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify. This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”. The resolution source will be video footage.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-20260916
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