Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Feb 2025.
$89.39K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 12:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 4 Feb 2025 · axis zoomed to 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jasonbourne | No | 726.06 |
| gromozeka-908 | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 3, President Donald Trump delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada for one month (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/03/trump-tariffs-mexico-canada-china-sheinbaum-responds.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-tariffs-on-china-in-effect-by-friday
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